With an eye on every corner of the world, our global forecast for the final quarter of 2018 shows little respite for careworn countries, trade agreements under strain, trouble ahead in emerging markets, little progress in resolving conflicts and broad shifts in alliances.

Quarterly

We're closely watching how the White House continues to gamble on trade; monitor the pain that contracting global oil supplies inflict on markets and economies; keep an eye on Russia's struggles in Syria and China's muscle-flexing across the Indo-Pacific; and analyze how events play out in Iran, North Korea and certain European countries.

Forecasts

2018 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

It promises to be an especially fractious fourth quarter as the United States continues to spar not only with adversaries but allies as well. The simmering trade dispute with China will continue, Russia will struggle to break its stalemate with the West, Europe has a litany of problems to address, and anything could happen on the Korean Peninsula.

QUARTERLY FORECASTS

2018 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Overview

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