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Economics

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Tracking U.S. Naval Power

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Global Trade

update U.S.-China tensions, a push by the Global South to build a parallel world order, new governments implementing controversial reforms and elections triggering social unrest will shape the fourth quarter. ed

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast update

China

Russia

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Forecast for Notification test

Ukraine

As the war in Ukraine enters its second year, the combination of limited energy supplies, high inflation and monetary tightening will negatively impact economic growth in the Global North and increase the risk of financial, political and food crises in the Global South. Against this backdrop, the world’s largest economies (most notably the U.S., China and the EU) will seek to shield themselves at a time of rising global uncertainty, leading to increased protectionism and limiting the room for multilateral cooperation on issues ranging from multilateral institutions to climate change. 

Sectioned Content: 2023 Annual Forecast

United States

Cyber

Energy

Environment, Science & Technology

Global Elections

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Science & Technology

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025. 

2025 Q1 Geopolitical Forecast

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

2025 Geopolitical Forecast

Canada

The Geopolitics of Water

Low economic growth, pervasive financial risks, the stalemate in Ukraine and technological competition between the world’s largest economies will drive geopolitical risk during the third quarter.

Annual Geopolitical Forecast for Geo-Focus user

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Annual Forecast for Geo-Focus role

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