Quarterly

Forecasts

Sectioned Content to test core notifications after fix teaser body.

Sectioned Content to test core notifications after fix

United States

China

In short, 2025 will be a pivotal year shaped by trade disruptions, geopolitical shifts and domestic challenges across the globe. While some countries will focus on domestic stabilization after years of political and economic turbulence, others will face new geopolitical tensions and opportunities as global powers recalibrate their strategies in an evolving international landscape.

Sectioned Content to test if it gets restricted in Mobile

Global Elections

Global Trade

Sectioned Content with Global tags for mapping test teaser body. 

Sectioned Content with Global tags for mapping test

Economics

Forecasts testin notification teaser body

Forecasts testin notification

Gambia

The quarter will also feature impactful elections, including presidential and general elections in Turkey that could trigger a constitutional crisis; regional elections in Spain that could see the nationalist right performing strongly; legislative elections in India that will delay the implementation of controversial economic reforms; and contentious elections to appoint the members of a council that will draft Chile's next constitution. Finally, political and security volatility will be high in key emerging economies such as Brazil, where political polarization will slow the new government's policy agenda; Nigeria, where the persistent risk of social unrest will complicate the new president's push to reform the economy; and Pakistan, where political volatility and a persistent economic crisis will prolong policy uncertainty and keep a high risk of social unrest.

Sectioned Content: 2023 Second-Quarter Forecast

Canada

Cyber

Quarterly Forecast for Geo-Focus role teaser body.

Quarterly Forecast for Geo-Focus role

U.S.-China tensions, a push by the Global South to build a parallel world order, new governments implementing controversial reforms and elections triggering social unrest will shape the fourth quarter.

2024 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Tensions between China, Russia and the West will shape a quarter marked by wars, trade disputes and consequential elections.

2024 Third-Quarter Forecast

During the quarter, elections in territories covering a joint population of more than 2 billion will determine the political and economic direction of some of the world’s largest economies.

2024 Second-Quarter Forecast

During the final quarter of 2023, the world will feel the impact of a global economy in transition as some of its pillars face headwinds and the war in Ukraine lingers.

2023 Fourth-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast

Low economic growth, pervasive financial risks, the stalemate in Ukraine and technological competition between the world’s largest economies will drive geopolitical risk during the third quarter.

2023 Third-Quarter Forecast

Geopolitical tensions will remain high as the war in Ukraine continues and meager economic activity continues to raise questions about the future of the global economy.


Quarterly

Forecasts

ANALYSES

SECTIONS

Explore

Subscribe

Help & Support