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Space: The Final Frontier for War?

undefined and Senior Military Analyst
Omar Lamrani
Senior Military Analyst, Stratfor

Sep 20, 2018 | 08:45 GMT

The nighttime lights of the United States are seen from space.

The nighttime lights of the United States are seen from space. As space becomes increasingly militarized, it will be essential to avoid a war above Earth.

Highlights

  • The U.S. military will continue to debate the relative merits of creating a Space Force that is separate from the other branches of the U.S. armed forces.
  • In the absence of international standards regulating conduct in space, the risks will grow that the United States, China and Russia will accelerate their own efforts to militarize the theater.
  • Treaties stipulating a blanket ban on weapons in space are unlikely to succeed in the foreseeable future because of their significant limitations and concerns over the ability to verify compliance.

"Space is a war-fighting domain." It's a mantra that U.S. officials have been stating ever since the Chinese blew up their own weather satellite during an anti-satellite missile test in 2007. Eleven years on, it's a phrase that U.S. President Donald Trump repeated in March in making the case for the creation of a Space Force. Although there is a growing awareness of the militarization of space -– and that the area around Earth is indeed a potential theater of war -– the Space Force debate remains a predominantly bureaucratic and organizational one. But while enhanced defense in space is important, it alone will not solve the root danger of the growing risk of an extraterrestrial war among terrestrial powers....

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