<p>To the west of Eurasia lays Europe, a region predisposed to division. It is surrounded on nearly all sides by islands and peninsulas that make it difficult for Europe to cohere. The northern half of the continent, moreover, sits on a plain whose short, meandering rivers tend to empower countries without forcing them to work with others. The southern half is situated on more mountainous terrain that has historically impeded the creation of strong, unified economies. As a result, Europe is a continent riven by pockets of distinct cultures whose differences are all too often irreconcilable.</p>

Europe is a continent riven by pockets of distinct cultures whose differences are all too often irreconcilable.

Europe

Belize

Andorra

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Italy

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Kosovo

Beyond Quantitative Easing

The Ukraine Conflict

The Politics of Pipelines

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

The Fate of the Eurozone

Banking

Crossing Borders

Globalization

European Disintegration

Echoes of the Cold War

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

Columns

On Geopolitics

United States

Iran

Ukraine

Russia

A compressor gas station of the Yamal–Europe pipeline is seen on Feb. 19, 2022, in Wloclawek, Poland. 

Energy

Politics

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The expiration of the Russia-Ukraine transit deal underscores Europe's ongoing efforts to sever its reliance on Russian resources, with far-reaching implications for energy markets and geopolitics in the region and beyond. 

The End of Russian Gas via Ukraine Cements Europe's Energy Landscape

Assessments

Israel

Syria

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Cyber

Military & Security

Nation-states' growing use of hacktivist personas to obfuscate responsibility will increasingly enable them to attack targets they would otherwise avoid and spread propaganda.

Hacktivism Offers Plausible Deniability for State-Backed Cyber Actors

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Establishing a more assertive industrial strategy for the bloc, reducing the regulatory and administrative burden for EU businesses, increasing support for investments in strategic sectors, and strengthening Europe's defense capabilities and industrial base. The new commission will also remain committed to the Green Deal and its ambitious climate goals, though attention will shift from approving targets to implementing legislatio

New European Commission will likely prioritize enhancing the bloc's competitiveness

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

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Annual

Forecasts

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025. 

2025 Geopolitical Forecast

Environment, Science & Technology

The European Union is reassessing its ongoing investigations launched under the Digital Markets Act since March 2024, including investigations into U.S. tech companies Apple, Meta and Google, The Financial Times reported on Jan. 14. All decisions and potential fines will be paused while the reviews are underway, although technical works on the cases will continue.



EU: Brussels Reassesses Ongoing Investigations Into U.S. Tech Companies

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Reflections

India

As the Champions Trophy controversy nears its conclusion

Criminal Activity

Organizational Threats

Economics

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

Snapshots

A muted market reaction to disrupted gas supply in Austria signals Europe's preparedness for a likely cut-off of Russian gas in the coming months.

Markets Shrug Off Russia's Gas Cut-Off to Austria

Staging Test : Recent U.S. Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) Activity Indicates Upcoming Areas of Focus

On Security

A photo taken on June 24, 2024, shows the aftermath of a fire at a manufacturing facility in Berlin, Germany, that was allegedly linked to Russia.

Intelligence agencies are increasingly using third parties to do their dirty work abroad, raising the risk of miscalculations with potentially violent consequences.

The Saboteur's Dilemma: The Risk of Using Proxies for Espionage

U.S., Vietnam: Trade Imbalance Reaches New High

By the end of 2025, the Italian government will present a state-backed company to build advanced nuclear reactors in the country, Reuters reported on Oct. 21, citing a statement by industry minister Adolfo Urso.

Italy: New State-Backed Company To Build Nuclear Reactors

The European Commission has listed eight flagship defense initiatives that could be labeled "defense projects of common interest" and thus benefit from EU funds, Euractiv reported Oct. 21, citing a draft document.

EU: Brussels Lists European Defence Projects of Common Interest that Would Require EU Funds

British Foreign Secretary David Lammy is traveling to China for high-level meetings as part of a two-day visit that will take him to Beijing, where he will meet Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, and Shanghai, where he will meet British business leaders in China, a press release from London showed on Oct. 18.

U.K., China: British Foreign Secretary David Lammy Visits China

The European Commission is considering expanding its powers to scrutinize and eventually halt merger deals to prevent "killer acquisitions" that endanger European start-ups, the Financial Times reported on Oct. 16.

EU: Brussels Considers New Powers To Block 'Killer Acquisitions' in Europe

France, Sweden, the Czech Republic, Austria, Latvia, Finland, Croatia and Lithuania will call for stricter measures to track imports of Russian liquefied natural gas in the European Union and help accelerate a planned phaseout of Russian energy supplies from the bloc, Bloomberg reported on Oct. 14, citing a draft joint document.

EU, Russia: Member States Call for Stricter Tracking of Russian LNG Imports Into Bloc

The French government will present a new immigration law in early 2025 that would extend the period during which migrants can be detained in administrative centers while awaiting deportation if they received an order to leave the country, Le Monde reported on Oct. 14, citing a statement by government spokesperson Maud Bregeon.

France: Government To Propose Tougher Immigration Rules in 2025

Social Issues

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Oct. 12 that Poland will temporarily suspend the right to claim asylum in the country and will not implement the European Union's new migration and asylum pact during a rally of his Civic Platform (KO) party, the largest in Poland's ruling coalition, Reuters reported Oct. 14.

Poland: Tusk Proposes Temporary Suspension of Asylum Rights

Europe

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Vietnam: Trade Imbalance Reaches New High

Italy: New State-Backed Company To Build Nuclear Reactors

EU: Brussels Lists European Defence Projects of Common Interest that Would Require EU Funds

U.K., China: British Foreign Secretary David Lammy Visits China

EU: Brussels Considers New Powers To Block 'Killer Acquisitions' in Europe

EU, Russia: Member States Call for Stricter Tracking of Russian LNG Imports Into Bloc

France: Government To Propose Tougher Immigration Rules in 2025

Poland: Tusk Proposes Temporary Suspension of Asylum Rights

Forecasts

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