Somalia

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Military & Security

Local security forces will likely be unable to sustain this level of pressure on the Islamic State without external support or additional resources. 

Sitrep: Somalia: Puntland Orchestrates Crackdown on Islamic State

Angola

Cyber

Energy

Stag: Mozambique: TotalEnergies Confirms Mozambique LNG Will Not Be Operational by 2029

South Sudan

Politics

Yemen: Houthis To Attack Only Israeli-Linked Vessels update

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Sitrep-Data-1

United States

China

The U.S. Treasury Department is finalizing its final rule to block certain outbound investments into China covering the artificial intelligence, semiconductor, microelectronics and quantum computing sectors, Reuters reported on Oct. 21.

China, U.S: Washington To Formally Ban Certain Investments Into AI, Semiconductors in China

U.S.-China Relations

Egypt

Egyptian Petroleum Minister Karim Badawi said Egypt reduced its 2040 renewable energy target from 58% to 40%, Reuters reported on Oct. 20.

Egypt: Government Cuts Renewable Energy Target To Drum Up Gas Exploration, Investment

The U.S. Commerce Department eased export restrictions that will make it easier for U.S. commercial space companies to export satellite and spacecraft-related technology to certain close U.S. allies, Reuters reported on Oct. 17.

U.S., Space: U.S. Eases Space Technology Export Restrictions To Boost Commercial Space Industry

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant science and technology analyses. 

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India

American tech companies Microsoft and OpenAI are investigating whether a group linked to Chinese artificial intelligence company DeepSeek illicitly obtained data from OpenAI models to train its breakout R1 model, Bloomberg reported on Jan. 28. Microsoft researchers reportedly observed OpenAI account users exfiltrating large amounts of data in late 2024 that they believe may have been used to accelerate the development of DeepSeek's AI model

columns: U.S.: OpenAI Claims DeepSeek Illicitly Accessed Data To Train Model

Assessments

In the likely case that the United States imposes higher tariffs on the European Union, the bloc will impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods while simultaneously pursuing a negotiation with Washington, but this may not be enough to prevent a lengthy trade war.

stag: Gauging the EU's Response to Potential U.S. Tariffs

Nepal

The planned protests highlight rising dissatisfaction with interim authorities fueled by a range of grievances, and they suggest there will be an uptick in disruptive demonstrations and potentially violent clashes in the coming weeks, even if it is currently unclear how large and severe the unrest will likely be. 

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While U.S.-Russia negotiations on the Ukraine war are set to begin soon and may result in a ceasefire, a peace agreement remains unlikely due to challenges surrounding Ukraine's post-war security, increasing the likelihood of further escalation

Assesments: How Will U.S.-Russia Talks on Ukraine Play Out in the Months Ahead?

Benin

The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative will finalize a new 25% tariff on imported Chinese tungsten products and double an existing 25% tariff to 50% on Chinese solar wafers and polysilicon, the Financial Times reported on Dec. 11. The tariffs will go into effect on Jan. 1, 2025.

Washington To Finalize Tariffs on Chinese Solar Wafers, Polysilicon and Tungsten update

Burundi

The booking is the first concrete sign of attempts to resume Russian gas deliveries to Transdniestria since supplies ended on Jan. 1. However, Ozbor Enterprises would need to book the rest of the route through Bulgaria and Romania, as well as Moldova and Ukraine, starting Jan. 27 to enable onward

Moldova: TurkStream Potentially Booked for Russian Gas Deliveries to Transdniestria test

Sri Lanka's foreign minister announced that the country signed an agreement with Chinese state-owned energy giant Sinopec to expedite the development of a proposed $3.7 billion oil refinery in Sri Lanka's southern port city of Hambantota, Reuters reported on Jan. 22. Sinopec and Sri Lanka will next work on determining the share of refined fuel allocated for export from the proposed refinery, and they aim to address outstanding issues related to land, taxes and water within a month.

Sri Lanka: Government To Fast-Track $3.7B Refinery With China's Sinopec

test

On Inauguration Day, new U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order seeking to delay the enforcement of the divest-or-ban law targeting Chinese-owned social media platform TikTok — which took effect on Jan. 19 — for 75 days, The New York Times reported on Jan. 20. The executive order instructs the attorney general to not take action to enforce the ban and to send a letter to companies covered by the law like Apple, Google and Oracle stating they will not be held liable for violating the statute by facilitating access to TikTok services during the delay period.

U.S.: Trump Seeks To Delay TikTok Divest-or-Ban Law via Executive Order

Despite Qatar's success in brokering the Gaza ceasefire, U.S. President Donald Trump and the Republican Party will remain critical of Qatari support for Islamist movements like Hamas and Syria's Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which could prompt Washington to reassess Doha's status as a major non-NATO ally, though bilateral defense cooperation will likely continue. On Jan. 15, Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani announced that Hamas and Israeli officials had reached a ceasefire, which went into effect on Jan. 19. Qatar has mediated hostage release and ceasefire negotiations between Hamas and Israel since the onset of the Gaza war in October 2023. However, as those talks repeatedly stalled over the past year, U.S. lawmakers began accusing Qatar of not adequately leveraging its ties with Hamas, whose political wing has operated out of Doha since 2012, to get the militant group to reach a deal. In the weeks leading up to the ceasefire announcement, Trump and his team, in particular, had increasingly urged Qatar to finalize a deal before Trump's Jan. 20 inauguration, with Trump threatening on Dec. 2 that there would be ''hell to pay'' in the Middle East if hostages were not released by the t

For Qatar, the Gaza Ceasefire Will Ease U.S. Pressure -- For Now

Russia

Annual

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Israel-Hamas Conflict

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025. 

2025 Q1 Geopolitical Forecast

Global Elections

(Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images) title

U.S. President Donald Trump's initial executive orders bolster border security, review tariffs, deregulate fossil fuels and withdraw the United States from the Paris Agreement in a push to reverse his predecessor's policies and advance hardline agendas on immigration, trade and energy. However, many of these initiatives will face legal challenges and/or logistical risks, or have a limited short-term impact.

What To Make of Trump's Day 1 Executive Orders

On Geopolitics

Equatorial Guinea

Almost nine in ten companies say they’ll disclose extensive carbon-footprint data even beyond what many are required to produce, according to a new study by global consulting firm Workiva. In the US, 86% of respondents in the survey released Tuesday said they plan to voluntarily comply with all or part with Europe’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive even though they don’t have to.




Environment, Science & Technology

SITUATION REPORTS

Sitrep: Somalia: Puntland Orchestrates Crackdown on Islamic State

Stag: Mozambique: TotalEnergies Confirms Mozambique LNG Will Not Be Operational by 2029

Yemen: Houthis To Attack Only Israeli-Linked Vessels update

sit rep test edit title

Sitrep-Data-1

China, U.S: Washington To Formally Ban Certain Investments Into AI, Semiconductors in China

Egypt: Government Cuts Renewable Energy Target To Drum Up Gas Exploration, Investment

U.S., Space: U.S. Eases Space Technology Export Restrictions To Boost Commercial Space Industry

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