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Li Europan lingues es membres del sam familie. Lor separat existentie es un myth. Por scientie, musica, sport etc, litot Europa usa li sam vocabular. Li lingues differe solmen in li grammatica, li pronunciation e li plu commun vocabules. Omnicos directe al desirabilite de un nov lingua franca: On refusa continuar payar custosi traductores. At solmen va esser necessi far uniform grammatica, pronunciation e plu sommun paroles. Ma quande lingues coalesce, li grammatica del resultant lingue es plu simplic e regulari quam ti del coalescent lingues. Li nov lingua franca va esser plu simplic e regulari quam li existent Europan lingues. It va esser tam simplic quam Occidental in fact, it va esser Occidental. A un Angleso it va semblar un simplificat Angles, quam un skeptic Cambridge amico dit me que Occidental es.Li Europan lingues es membres del sam familie. Lor separat existentie es un myth. Por scientie, musica, sport etc, litot Europa usa li sam vocabular. Li lingues differe solmen in li grammatica, li pronunciation e li plu commun vocabules. Omnicos directe al desirabilite de un nov lingua franca: On refusa continuar payar custosi traductores. At solmen va esser necessi far uniform grammatica, pronunciation e plu sommun paroles.



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On Geopolitics

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On Security

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Environment, Science & Technology

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Asia-Pacific Analyst Nate Fischler provides an overview of Australia's current political environment in light of the country's recent election and U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plan. 

RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about RANE's risk management solutions, visit www.ranenetwork.com.

Essential Geopolitics: The Future of Australia's Political Landscape

Assessments

The White House's unilateral federalization of the National Guard reflects an increasingly aggressive mass deportation effort amid escalating pushback that will result in a high risk of future unrest and legal standoffs, as well as add to existing economic uncertainty.

By Deploying the National Guard to LA, Trump Doubles Down on His Mass Deportation Efforts

Assessment - U.S., China: Xi, Trump Phone Call Suggests Rare Earths Talks Inbound

Cyber

Cyber tag article :: The Weekly Rundown: A U.S. Tariff Ruling, Israel's Opposition Seeks To Dissolve the Knesset

South Sudan

(Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Economics

Energy

Much has been made of U.S. President Donald Trump's recent tour of the Middle East, where he slammed the interventionist policies of his predecessors. "In the end, the so-called nation builders wrecked far more nations than they built. And the interventionalists [sic] were intervening in complex societies that they did not even understand," he said in Riyadh, about the widely panned Iraq invasion of 2003.

Is the Era of U.S. Interventionism in the Middle East Over?

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Afghanistan

Annual

Forecasts

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Russia

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In the next 15 years, we anticipate that push notifications will continue to expand across new platforms and devices, including gaming systems. The trend of empowering users with greater control over their push experiences is set to continue, which means brands must proactively seek user consent and preferences regarding content and timing. As demonstrated by Live Activities, push messaging is increasingly shifting towards “moments-based'” communication, delivering relevant messages right when users need them. To stay ahead, brands should explore innovative ways to ensure their messaging aligns seamlessly with each user's unique context.

Snapshot: Article with topics cyber

5 years, we anticipate that push notifications will continue to expand across new platforms and devices, including gaming systems. The trend of empowering users with greater control over their push experiences is set to continue, which means brands must proactively seek user consent and preferences regarding content and timing. As demonstrated by Live Activities, push messaging is increasingly shifting towards “moments-based'” communication, delivering relevant messages right when users need them. To stay ahead, brands should explore innovative ways to ensure their messaging aligns seamlessly with each user's unique context.

Snapshot: WV + TL 

A U.S. federal appeals court paused a lower-court ruling invalidating most of the Trump administration's tariffs implemented this year while it hears the government's appeal, CNBC reported on May 29. The court did not specify how long the temporary stay would last, but issued a briefing schedule for the case that lasts through June 9. 

Snapshots :: U.S: Appeals Court Temporarily Allows Trump Administration To Keep Tariffs in Place

Cyber & Information Threats

The next big shakeup in the world of mobile and tablet push notifications arrives in 2022, with the debut of Apple’s Live Activities. These are real-time persistent messages that appear right on iPhone and iPad lock screens without users having to unlock their devices, giving brands a new highly visible way to share up-to-the-minute information.

Instead of having to send multiple push notifications about a given event or transaction, marketers can now keep users updated dynamically, such as:

During a countdown to the premiere of a new episode of a user’s favorite show
In the lead-up to the departure of a traveler’s upcoming flight or hotel stay
When a package ships, is in transit, and is delivered

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Netherlands

Geert Wilders (left), leader of the far-right Party for Freedom (PVV), addresses the media after attending the weekly coalition talks in The Hague, the Netherlands, on June 3, 2025.

Politics

The far-right party's exit from the ruling coalition will likely trigger early elections, leading to a prolonged period of political uncertainty amid complex coalition-building and months of caretaker governance.

The Netherlands Descends Into Political Crisis After Government Collapses

Poland

Right-wing opposition candidate Karol Nawrocki waves to supporters in Warsaw, Poland, following the presidential runoff election on June 1, 2025.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The incoming conservative president will likely veto many of the centrist government's domestic reforms, while his euroskeptic views will sustain foreign policy incoherence, potentially undermining Poland's economic outlook and its credibility as a regional leader.

Poland Braces for More Political Gridlock Following Nawrocki's Presidential Victory

Global Elections

Canada

Mexico

United States

China

Japan

South Korea

Europe

A U.S. courthouse facade with columns in lower Manhattan, New York.

Global Trade

The court ruling nullifies most -- though not all -- of the Trump administration's tariffs, giving U.S. trading partners temporary breathing room in negotiations while the White House searches for alternative trade measures.

The White House's Tariff Ambitions Bend -- But Do Not Break -- Under the Weight of a Court Ruling

Australia

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton concedes defeat during a Liberal Party election night event on May 3, 2025, in Brisbane, Australia. 

The collapse of the center-right Liberal-National Coalition (LNC) will grant the ruling Labor Party freer rein to implement energy transition, industrial investment and fiscal reform policies.

Collapse of Australia's Conservative Coalition Reshapes Political Landscape, Further Empowers Labor

A digital illustration of a Chinese flag.

The apparent ineffectiveness of consumer subsidies in raising retail sales, paired with the government's continued resistance to stimulus, suggests that China's post-COVID consumer activity will remain depressed for the foreseeable future.

Gauging the Success of China's Consumer Subsidies Program, One Year Later

U.S.-China Relations

Russian President Vladimir Putin on May 18 at the Congress of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs in Moscow. The increasing costs of the war in Ukraine will increase Moscow's incentive to end it, but only in the medium to long term.

The increasing costs of the war in Ukraine will increase Moscow's incentive to end it, but only in the medium to long term.

The Role of Economics in Russia's War Strategy

Visitors walk down the inclined shaft at Steenkampskraal rare-earth mine on July 29, 2019, about 80 kilometers (about 50 miles) from Vanrhynsdorp, a town in Western Cape province, South Africa.

U.S.-China trade tensions are increasing the risk of supply chain disruptions for critical raw materials, but companies can take steps to mitigate this danger.

Corporate America Comes to Grips With Supply Chain Risks to Critical Raw Materials

For export-reliant developing countries that were already facing financial distress, the global uncertainty created by Trump's sweeping tariffs will sharply increase economic risks, as well as introduce political instability risks.

 Trump's Tariffs Will Hit Developing Economies Hard

Iran

Iraq

Syria

Yemen

A U.S. Marine Corps F-35B aircraft over the North Sea having taken off from RAF Fairford on July 1, 2016 in Gloucestershire, England. The tactic designed to allow intervention without deepening withdrawalism will instead do the opposite, and Washington will face more and more calls to retrench from the Middle East.

The tactic designed to allow intervention without deepening withdrawalism will instead do the opposite, and Washington will face more and more calls to retrench from the Middle East.

Washington Bumps up Against the Limits of Airpower in the Middle East

Ukraine

The allure of implementing a sphere of influence model is more likely to disappoint those who may argue that it would create more stability and security.

The Temptations of a Sphere-of-Influence Model of International Relations

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The European languages are members of the same family. Their separate existence is a myth. For science, music, sport, etc, Europe uses the same vocabulary. The languages only differ in their grammar, their pronunciation and their most common words. Everyone realizes why a new common language would be desirable: one could refuse to pay expensive translators. To achieve this, it would be necessary to have uniform grammar, pronunciation and more common words. If several languages coalesce, the grammar of the resulting language is more simple and regular than that of the individual languages. The new common language will be more simple and regular than the existing European languages. It will be as simple as Occidental; in fact, it will be Occidental. To an English person, it will seem like simplified English, as a skeptical Cambridge friend of mine told me what Occidental is.The European languages are members of the same family. Their separate existence is a myth. For science, music, sport, etc, Europe uses the same vocabulary. The languages only differ in their grammar, their pronunciation and their most common words. Everyone realizes why a new common language would be desirable: one could refuse to pay expensive translators. To



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Science & Technology

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Several major Western automakers are considering shifting more of their auto-parts manufacturing to China to avoid factory shutdowns due to an inability to source Chinese rare earth magnets, The Wall Street Journal reported on June 3. These reports come as China has been slow to approve export licenses for rare earths and rare earth magnets amid trade tensions with the United States.

columns: China: Limits on Rare Earth Exports Force Western Automakers To Consider Relocating Production

Benin

Burkina Faso

Cameroon

Central African Republic

Chad

Comoros

Cote d'Ivoire

Djibouti

Gabon

Guinea

Madagascar

Mali

Mauritania

Niger

Nigeria

Republic of the Congo

Senegal

Togo

Algeria

Morocco

France

A Gabonese brigade participates in a training exercise as part of a military program linked to the Franco-Gabonese partnership at the French military base Camp de Gaulle in Libreville on March 19, 2025. 

France's reduced influence in Africa will create space for local and foreign actors to take on greater leadership roles, but their inability to fill the security vacuum left by France's withdrawal would threaten to destabilize the region.

France, Africa and the Future, Part 2: The Age of Multi-Alignment 

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The U.S. and the Balance of Power

Sitreps Drupal :: U.S.: Trump Threatens Apple With 25% Tariff on iPhone Imports

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Situational Report: (WV + Cyber)

Preliminary results for Mexico's June 1 judicial elections began coming out on June 2, indicating that all nine newly elected members of the Supreme Court are individuals the ruling Morena party promoted ahead of the election, El Pais reported on June 3. 

Mexico: Judges Aligned With Ruling Party To Control Supreme Court

Mongolia

Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai, Mongolia's prime minister and head of the long-dominant Mongolian People's Party, was ousted when he failed to win a vote of confidence, only receiving 44 of the 64 votes required despite the MPP's control over 76 out of 126 legislative seats, Bloomberg reported on June 2.

Mongolia: Prime Minister Ousted Amid Protests, Ruling Party To Remain

Finland

Sweden

Turkey

Videos

Why is Turkey blocking Finland's and Sweden's accession to NATO?

Essential Geopolitics: Why Turkey Is Blocking NATO From Bringing in Sweden and Finland

Broken Contracts in the Middle East

Stratfor Middle East and North Africa Analyst Emily Hawthorne updates the political and economic situation in Algeria.

Essential Geopolitics: An Update on Algeria

Three Geopolitical Events in the Week Ahead • Oct. 21, 2019

Three Geopolitical Events in the Week Ahead • Oct. 14, 2019

In this short video Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl discusses three events to watch for this week.

Three Geopolitical Events in the Week Ahead • Oct. 7, 2019

Three Geopolitical Events in the Week Ahead • Sept. 23, 2019

Three Geopolitical Events in the Week Ahead • Sept. 9, 2019

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan's strategic location and natural resources make it of significant interest to external powers, including Russia, China, and the United States.

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

Stratfor explains Uzbekistan's struggle to maintain internal unity while balancing against its regional neighbors and external powers.

Uzbekistan's Geographic Challenge

Global Perspectives

Partner Perspectives

More than 4,500 American service members have been killed in Iraq since the U.S. invasion in 2003. Security issues and conditions in Iraq will dictate whether U.S. forces will remain and, if so, what will be their size and mission.

The United States does not have attractive options as far as its military presence in Iraq, but it has workable ones to achieve its strategic and security goals.

To Leave or Not to Leave: The U.S. Security Dilemma in Iraq

North Korea

Contributor Perspectives

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un faces a stark and narrow choice between denuclearizing or learning to accept China's growing control over his country.

By testing ICBMs and powerful nuclear weapons, the North Korean leader has placed himself in a strategic trap that threatens to leave his country at China's mercy.

North Korea's Kim Jong Un Finds Himself in a Bind of His Own Making

A Chinese effort to build influence in Africa includes a $140 million outlay to construct a new parliament building for Zimbabwe in its capital, Harare.

Infrastructure projects have helped Beijing build influence across the globe.

How Chinese Financing Is Fueling the World’s Megaprojects

Under President Khaltmaa Battulga, Mongolia has been deepening its relationship with Russia.

The East Asian nation is at the geographical nexus of the rivalry among China, Russia and the United States. It faces a difficult task navigating its precarious position.

How Great Power Competition Is Changing the Geopolitics of Mongolia

For Moscow, soft power is more about sowing discord among the Kremlin's enemies than singing Russia's praises.

Rather than trumpet Russia's praises overseas, Moscow's propaganda machine is focused more on undermining the Kremlin's enemies.

Russia Takes a Hard Approach to Soft Power

Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, the late founder of Kataib Hezbollah, commanded respect in Iraq. His death, more than Qassem Soleimani's in the same attack, soured many Iraqis on the U.S. presence in their country.

Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis fought Saddam Hussein, engineered attacks on Western embassies and took on the Islamic State. His death in the same strike that killed Iran's Qassem Soleimani increased local hostility to the U.S. presence in Iraq.

Reflections on the Life and Death of an Iraqi Militant

Guatemala

Guatemala is still working out the details of how it will implement a 'safe third country' agreement signed last year with the United States.

The country's new president is likely to use the questions surrounding the implementation of the 'safe third country' agreement to wrest additional support from the U.S.

Why the Details of a White House Asylum Deal Matter to Guatemala

Libya

Turkey is sending troops to Libya not to engage in conflict but to force a cease-fire.

By sending Turkish troops to defend Libya's U.N.-backed government, President Erdogan hopes to force a cease-fire that will protect his country's oil and gas interests in the Mediterranean and burnish his regional reputation.

The Factors Motivating Turkey in Libya

The Libyan Civil War

Turkey's Resurgence

United Kingdom

A photograph of "The Family of Henry VIII: An Allegory of the Tudor Succession," a 16th century painting attributed to Lucas de Heere. Under Henry VIII, England crashed out of a European union created by the Roman Catholic Church.

While there are few obvious historical analogies for the political crisis Britain's scheduled exit from the European Union has precipitated, there is one suggestive parallel -- and it prompts some sobering thoughts.

The U.K. May Find That Getting to Brexit Was the Easy Part

Technological advances have helped increase the number of major oil discoveries, including offshore sites that previously had been unreachable.

Technology has driven a number of recent major energy finds, but discovery does not always mean that production will follow.

Mapped: The World’s Biggest Oil Discoveries Since 1868

Taiwan

Whether and how people celebrate Christmas is clearly a complicated affair, bearing only a subtle relationship to Christianity itself. The contemporary, increasingly international version of Christmas is less a religious festival than a celebration of affluence, modernity, and above all Westernness. Without anyone willing it, Christmas has become part of a package of Western soft power.

After Months of Political Tumult, South Korea Elects a New President

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Mexico: Judges Aligned With Ruling Party To Control Supreme Court

Mongolia: Prime Minister Ousted Amid Protests, Ruling Party To Remain

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